PetIQ Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.55

PETQDelisted Stock  USD 30.98  0.00  0.00%   
PetIQ's future price is the expected price of PetIQ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PetIQ Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
Please specify PetIQ's target price for which you would like PetIQ odds to be computed.

PetIQ Target Price Odds to finish below 19.55

The tendency of PetIQ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 19.55  or more in 90 days
 30.98 90 days 19.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PetIQ to drop to $ 19.55  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PetIQ Inc probability density function shows the probability of PetIQ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PetIQ Inc price to stay between $ 19.55  and its current price of $30.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PetIQ has a beta of 0.0083 indicating as returns on the market go up, PetIQ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PetIQ Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PetIQ Inc has an alpha of 0.6896, implying that it can generate a 0.69 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PetIQ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PetIQ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PetIQ Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PetIQ's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9130.9831.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0524.1234.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.9432.0132.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4930.7731.05
Details

PetIQ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PetIQ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PetIQ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PetIQ Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PetIQ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.69
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
3.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

PetIQ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PetIQ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PetIQ Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetIQ Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
PetIQ Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
PetIQ is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

PetIQ Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PetIQ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PetIQ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PetIQ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.4 M

PetIQ Technical Analysis

PetIQ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PetIQ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PetIQ Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing PetIQ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PetIQ Predictive Forecast Models

PetIQ's time-series forecasting models is one of many PetIQ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PetIQ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PetIQ Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about PetIQ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PetIQ Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetIQ Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
PetIQ Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
PetIQ is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Other Consideration for investing in PetIQ Stock

If you are still planning to invest in PetIQ Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the PetIQ's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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