Principal Financial Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 75.18
| PFG Stock | USD 77.71 0.63 0.80% |
Principal |
Principal Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 75.18
The tendency of Principal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 75.18 or more in 90 days |
| 77.71 | 90 days | 75.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Principal Financial to drop to $ 75.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Principal Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Principal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Principal Financial price to stay between $ 75.18 and its current price of $77.71 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Principal Financial has a beta of 0.0671 indicating as returns on the market go up, Principal Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Principal Financial Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Principal Financial Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Principal Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Principal Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Principal Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Principal Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Principal Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Principal Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Principal Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Principal Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Principal Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Principal Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Principal Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Principal Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of December 2024 Principal Financial paid $ 0.73 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Institutional Interest Grows in Johnson Controls International |
Principal Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Principal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Principal Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Principal Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
Principal Financial Technical Analysis
Principal Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Principal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Principal Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Principal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Principal Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Principal Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Principal Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Principal Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Principal Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Principal Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Principal Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Principal Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of December 2024 Principal Financial paid $ 0.73 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Institutional Interest Grows in Johnson Controls International |
Check out Principal Financial Backtesting, Principal Financial Valuation, Principal Financial Correlation, Principal Financial Hype Analysis, Principal Financial Volatility, Principal Financial History as well as Principal Financial Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Principal Financial. If investors know Principal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Principal Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Dividend Share 2.79 | Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share 59.953 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) |
The market value of Principal Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Principal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Principal Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Principal Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Principal Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Principal Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Principal Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Principal Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Principal Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.