Phenixfin 525 Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.16
| PFXNZ Stock | USD 22.87 0.03 0.13% |
PhenixFIN |
PhenixFIN 525 Target Price Odds to finish below 21.16
The tendency of PhenixFIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 21.16 or more in 90 days |
| 22.87 | 90 days | 21.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PhenixFIN 525 to drop to $ 21.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PhenixFIN 525 probability density function shows the probability of PhenixFIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PhenixFIN 525 price to stay between $ 21.16 and its current price of $22.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PhenixFIN 525 has a beta of 0.0891 indicating as returns on the market go up, PhenixFIN 525 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PhenixFIN 525 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PhenixFIN 525 has an alpha of 0.0758, implying that it can generate a 0.0758 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PhenixFIN 525 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PhenixFIN 525
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PhenixFIN 525. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PhenixFIN 525 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PhenixFIN 525 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PhenixFIN 525's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PhenixFIN 525, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PhenixFIN 525 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
PhenixFIN 525 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PhenixFIN 525 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PhenixFIN 525 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PhenixFIN 525 has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 PhenixFIN 525 paid $ 0.3813 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Great Elm Capital Corp. Raises 13.2 Million of Equity at Net Asset Value - GlobeNewswire |
PhenixFIN 525 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PhenixFIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PhenixFIN 525's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PhenixFIN 525's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1923 |
PhenixFIN 525 Technical Analysis
PhenixFIN 525's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PhenixFIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PhenixFIN 525. In general, you should focus on analyzing PhenixFIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PhenixFIN 525 Predictive Forecast Models
PhenixFIN 525's time-series forecasting models is one of many PhenixFIN 525's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PhenixFIN 525's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PhenixFIN 525
Checking the ongoing alerts about PhenixFIN 525 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PhenixFIN 525 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PhenixFIN 525 has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| On 1st of November 2024 PhenixFIN 525 paid $ 0.3813 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Great Elm Capital Corp. Raises 13.2 Million of Equity at Net Asset Value - GlobeNewswire |
Additional Tools for PhenixFIN Stock Analysis
When running PhenixFIN 525's price analysis, check to measure PhenixFIN 525's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PhenixFIN 525 is operating at the current time. Most of PhenixFIN 525's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PhenixFIN 525's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PhenixFIN 525's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PhenixFIN 525 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.