Procter Gamble Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 168.01
| PG Stock | USD 168.06 1.13 0.67% |
Procter |
Procter Gamble Target Price Odds to finish below 168.01
The tendency of Procter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 168.01 or more in 90 days |
| 168.06 | 90 days | 168.01 | about 25.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Procter Gamble to drop to $ 168.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.53 (This Procter Gamble probability density function shows the probability of Procter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Procter Gamble price to stay between $ 168.01 and its current price of $168.06 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Procter Gamble has a beta of 0.0627 indicating as returns on the market go up, Procter Gamble average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Procter Gamble will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Procter Gamble has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Procter Gamble Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Procter Gamble
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Procter Gamble. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Procter Gamble Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Procter Gamble is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Procter Gamble's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Procter Gamble, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Procter Gamble within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Procter Gamble Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Procter Gamble for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Procter Gamble can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Procter Gamble generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Procter Gamble reports 33.37 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Procter to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Procter Gamble has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Procter Gamble paid $ 1.0065 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: I Sold My Home And Liquidated My 401 Entrepreneur Snags 150K Shark Tank Deal After Beating Stage 3 Cancer And Raising 1.1M |
Procter Gamble Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Procter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Procter Gamble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Procter Gamble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 B |
Procter Gamble Technical Analysis
Procter Gamble's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Procter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Procter Gamble. In general, you should focus on analyzing Procter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Procter Gamble Predictive Forecast Models
Procter Gamble's time-series forecasting models is one of many Procter Gamble's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Procter Gamble's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Procter Gamble
Checking the ongoing alerts about Procter Gamble for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Procter Gamble help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Procter Gamble generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Procter Gamble reports 33.37 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.61, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Procter to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Procter Gamble has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 69.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of November 2024 Procter Gamble paid $ 1.0065 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: I Sold My Home And Liquidated My 401 Entrepreneur Snags 150K Shark Tank Deal After Beating Stage 3 Cancer And Raising 1.1M |
Check out Procter Gamble Backtesting, Procter Gamble Valuation, Procter Gamble Correlation, Procter Gamble Hype Analysis, Procter Gamble Volatility, Procter Gamble History as well as Procter Gamble Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Procter Stock please use our How to Invest in Procter Gamble guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 3.894 | Earnings Share 5.8 | Revenue Per Share 35.566 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Procter Gamble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.