George Putnam Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.23

PGEBX Fund  USD 25.23  0.00  0.00%   
George Putnam's future price is the expected price of George Putnam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of George Putnam Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out George Putnam Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, George Putnam Correlation, George Putnam Hype Analysis, George Putnam Volatility, George Putnam History as well as George Putnam Performance.
  
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George Putnam Target Price Odds to finish over 25.23

The tendency of George Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.23 90 days 25.23 
about 60.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of George Putnam to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.02 (This George Putnam Fund probability density function shows the probability of George Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon George Putnam has a beta of 0.0037 indicating as returns on the market go up, George Putnam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding George Putnam Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally George Putnam Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   George Putnam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for George Putnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as George Putnam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.2325.2325.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7324.7327.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as George Putnam. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against George Putnam's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, George Putnam's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in George Putnam.

George Putnam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. George Putnam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the George Putnam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold George Putnam Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of George Putnam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -1.11

George Putnam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of George Putnam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for George Putnam can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
George Putnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

George Putnam Technical Analysis

George Putnam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. George Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of George Putnam Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing George Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

George Putnam Predictive Forecast Models

George Putnam's time-series forecasting models is one of many George Putnam's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary George Putnam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about George Putnam

Checking the ongoing alerts about George Putnam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for George Putnam help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
George Putnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in George Mutual Fund

George Putnam financial ratios help investors to determine whether George Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in George with respect to the benefits of owning George Putnam security.
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