Primary Health (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 92.27

PHP Stock   91.55  0.80  0.88%   
Primary Health's future price is the expected price of Primary Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Primary Health Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Primary Health Backtesting, Primary Health Valuation, Primary Health Correlation, Primary Health Hype Analysis, Primary Health Volatility, Primary Health History as well as Primary Health Performance.
  
Please specify Primary Health's target price for which you would like Primary Health odds to be computed.

Primary Health Target Price Odds to finish over 92.27

The tendency of Primary Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  92.27  or more in 90 days
 91.55 90 days 92.27 
about 92.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Primary Health to move over  92.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.3 (This Primary Health Properties probability density function shows the probability of Primary Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Primary Health Properties price to stay between its current price of  91.55  and  92.27  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Primary Health Properties has a beta of -0.0036 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Primary Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Primary Health Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Primary Health Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Primary Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Primary Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primary Health Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.2791.2692.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.40110.36111.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.4389.4290.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.621.691.75
Details

Primary Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Primary Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Primary Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Primary Health Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Primary Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0036
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Primary Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Primary Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Primary Health Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Primary Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Primary Health paid 0.0173 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Primary Health Properties Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat

Primary Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Primary Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Primary Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primary Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 M

Primary Health Technical Analysis

Primary Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Primary Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Primary Health Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Primary Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Primary Health Predictive Forecast Models

Primary Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Primary Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Primary Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Primary Health Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Primary Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Primary Health Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Primary Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of November 2024 Primary Health paid 0.0173 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Primary Health Properties Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Primary Stock

Primary Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Primary Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Primary with respect to the benefits of owning Primary Health security.