Phx Minerals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.85
| PHX Stock | USD 3.97 0.12 3.12% |
PHX |
PHX Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 3.85
The tendency of PHX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.85 or more in 90 days |
| 3.97 | 90 days | 3.85 | about 86.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHX Minerals to drop to $ 3.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.21 (This PHX Minerals probability density function shows the probability of PHX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHX Minerals price to stay between $ 3.85 and its current price of $3.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon PHX Minerals has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, PHX Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PHX Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PHX Minerals has an alpha of 0.2743, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PHX Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PHX Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHX Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PHX Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHX Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHX Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHX Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHX Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
PHX Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PHX Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PHX Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PHX Minerals has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 5th of December 2024 PHX Minerals paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: PHX Minerals Attracts Increased Institutional Interest A Closer Look |
PHX Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PHX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PHX Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PHX Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 806.3 K |
PHX Minerals Technical Analysis
PHX Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHX Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PHX Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
PHX Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many PHX Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHX Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PHX Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about PHX Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PHX Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PHX Minerals has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 5th of December 2024 PHX Minerals paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: PHX Minerals Attracts Increased Institutional Interest A Closer Look |
Additional Tools for PHX Stock Analysis
When running PHX Minerals' price analysis, check to measure PHX Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PHX Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of PHX Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PHX Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PHX Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PHX Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.