Phx Energy Services Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 4.67

PHXHF Stock  USD 6.69  0.04  0.59%   
PHX Energy's future price is the expected price of PHX Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PHX Energy Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PHX Energy Backtesting, PHX Energy Valuation, PHX Energy Correlation, PHX Energy Hype Analysis, PHX Energy Volatility, PHX Energy History as well as PHX Energy Performance.
  
Please specify PHX Energy's target price for which you would like PHX Energy odds to be computed.

PHX Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 4.67

The tendency of PHX OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.67  or more in 90 days
 6.69 90 days 4.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHX Energy to drop to $ 4.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PHX Energy Services probability density function shows the probability of PHX OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHX Energy Services price to stay between $ 4.67  and its current price of $6.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PHX Energy has a beta of 0.21 indicating as returns on the market go up, PHX Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PHX Energy Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PHX Energy Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PHX Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PHX Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHX Energy Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.676.698.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.705.727.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.446.478.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.566.756.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PHX Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PHX Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PHX Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PHX Energy Services.

PHX Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHX Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHX Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHX Energy Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHX Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

PHX Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PHX Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PHX Energy Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

PHX Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PHX OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PHX Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PHX Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48 M

PHX Energy Technical Analysis

PHX Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHX OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHX Energy Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHX OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PHX Energy Predictive Forecast Models

PHX Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many PHX Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHX Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PHX Energy Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about PHX Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PHX Energy Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in PHX OTC Stock

PHX Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHX OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHX with respect to the benefits of owning PHX Energy security.