Pelangi Indah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 120.75
| PICO Stock | IDR 140.00 3.00 2.10% |
Pelangi |
Pelangi Indah Target Price Odds to finish over 120.75
The tendency of Pelangi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 120.75 in 90 days |
| 140.00 | 90 days | 120.75 | about 76.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pelangi Indah to stay above 120.75 in 90 days from now is about 76.79 (This Pelangi Indah Canindo probability density function shows the probability of Pelangi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pelangi Indah Canindo price to stay between 120.75 and its current price of 140.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pelangi Indah has a beta of 0.46 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pelangi Indah average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pelangi Indah Canindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pelangi Indah Canindo has an alpha of 0.3643, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pelangi Indah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pelangi Indah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelangi Indah Canindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pelangi Indah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pelangi Indah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pelangi Indah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pelangi Indah Canindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pelangi Indah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Pelangi Indah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pelangi Indah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pelangi Indah Canindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pelangi Indah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Pelangi Indah has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 455.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (48.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.31 B. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pelangi Indah Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pelangi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pelangi Indah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pelangi Indah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 568.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.4 B |
Pelangi Indah Technical Analysis
Pelangi Indah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pelangi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pelangi Indah Canindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pelangi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pelangi Indah Predictive Forecast Models
Pelangi Indah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pelangi Indah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pelangi Indah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pelangi Indah Canindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pelangi Indah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pelangi Indah Canindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pelangi Indah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Pelangi Indah has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 455.74 B. Net Loss for the year was (48.36 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.31 B. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pelangi Stock
Pelangi Indah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pelangi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pelangi with respect to the benefits of owning Pelangi Indah security.