Peoples Insurance (Sri Lanka) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.61
| PINSN0000 | LKR 27.90 0.40 1.41% |
Peoples |
Peoples Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 21.61
The tendency of Peoples Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.61 or more in 90 days |
| 27.90 | 90 days | 21.61 | about 23.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Peoples Insurance to drop to 21.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.82 (This Peoples Insurance PLC probability density function shows the probability of Peoples Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Peoples Insurance PLC price to stay between 21.61 and its current price of 27.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Peoples Insurance PLC has a beta of -0.31 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Peoples Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Peoples Insurance PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Peoples Insurance PLC has an alpha of 0.5008, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Peoples Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Peoples Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Peoples Insurance PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Peoples Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Peoples Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Peoples Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Peoples Insurance PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Peoples Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Peoples Insurance Technical Analysis
Peoples Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Peoples Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Peoples Insurance PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Peoples Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Peoples Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
Peoples Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Peoples Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Peoples Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Peoples Insurance in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Peoples Insurance's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Peoples Insurance options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Peoples Stock
Peoples Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Peoples Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Peoples with respect to the benefits of owning Peoples Insurance security.