Pekin Life Insurance Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 11.55
| PKIN Stock | USD 11.75 0.23 2.00% |
Pekin |
Pekin Life Target Price Odds to finish below 11.55
The tendency of Pekin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.55 or more in 90 days |
| 11.75 | 90 days | 11.55 | about 59.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pekin Life to drop to $ 11.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.57 (This Pekin Life Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Pekin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pekin Life Insurance price to stay between $ 11.55 and its current price of $11.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pekin Life has a beta of 0.0038 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pekin Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pekin Life Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pekin Life Insurance has an alpha of 0.0211, implying that it can generate a 0.0211 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pekin Life Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pekin Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pekin Life Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pekin Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pekin Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pekin Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pekin Life Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pekin Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.38 |
Pekin Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pekin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pekin Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pekin Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Pekin Life Technical Analysis
Pekin Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pekin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pekin Life Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pekin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pekin Life Predictive Forecast Models
Pekin Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pekin Life's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pekin Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Pekin Life in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Pekin Life's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Pekin Life options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Pekin Pink Sheet
Pekin Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pekin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pekin with respect to the benefits of owning Pekin Life security.