Premier Marketing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.35

PM Stock  THB 9.10  0.05  0.55%   
Premier Marketing's future price is the expected price of Premier Marketing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Premier Marketing Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Premier Marketing Backtesting, Premier Marketing Valuation, Premier Marketing Correlation, Premier Marketing Hype Analysis, Premier Marketing Volatility, Premier Marketing History as well as Premier Marketing Performance.
  
Please specify Premier Marketing's target price for which you would like Premier Marketing odds to be computed.

Premier Marketing Target Price Odds to finish below 9.35

The tendency of Premier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  9.35  after 90 days
 9.10 90 days 9.35 
about 92.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Premier Marketing to stay under  9.35  after 90 days from now is about 92.4 (This Premier Marketing Public probability density function shows the probability of Premier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Premier Marketing Public price to stay between its current price of  9.10  and  9.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Premier Marketing has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, Premier Marketing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Premier Marketing Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Premier Marketing Public has an alpha of 0.1451, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Premier Marketing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Premier Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Marketing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.269.1010.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.169.0010.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.938.7710.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.279.029.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Premier Marketing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Premier Marketing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Premier Marketing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Premier Marketing Public.

Premier Marketing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Premier Marketing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Premier Marketing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Premier Marketing Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Premier Marketing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Premier Marketing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Premier Marketing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Premier Marketing Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Premier Marketing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Premier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Premier Marketing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier Marketing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding558.1 M
Dividends Paid306.9 M
Short Long Term Debt184.7 M

Premier Marketing Technical Analysis

Premier Marketing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Premier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Premier Marketing Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Premier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Premier Marketing Predictive Forecast Models

Premier Marketing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Premier Marketing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Premier Marketing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Premier Marketing Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Premier Marketing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Premier Marketing Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Marketing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Marketing security.