Philip Morris International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 126.77
| PM Stock | USD 126.62 0.38 0.30% |
Philip |
Philip Morris Target Price Odds to finish below 126.77
The tendency of Philip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 126.77 after 90 days |
| 126.62 | 90 days | 126.77 | about 58.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Philip Morris to stay under $ 126.77 after 90 days from now is about 58.16 (This Philip Morris International probability density function shows the probability of Philip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Philip Morris Intern price to stay between its current price of $ 126.62 and $ 126.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.15 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Philip Morris International has a beta of -0.33 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Philip Morris are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Philip Morris International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Philip Morris International has an alpha of 0.0755, implying that it can generate a 0.0755 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Philip Morris Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Philip Morris
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Philip Morris Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Philip Morris Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Philip Morris is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Philip Morris' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Philip Morris International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Philip Morris within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Philip Morris Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Philip Morris for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Philip Morris Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Philip Morris International reports 47.91 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.9, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Philip Morris Intern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Is Philip Morris International a Long Term Investment Examining Its Growth and Valuation |
Philip Morris Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Philip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Philip Morris' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Philip Morris' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Philip Morris Technical Analysis
Philip Morris' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Philip Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Philip Morris International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Philip Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Philip Morris Predictive Forecast Models
Philip Morris' time-series forecasting models is one of many Philip Morris' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Philip Morris' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Philip Morris Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Philip Morris for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Philip Morris Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Philip Morris International reports 47.91 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.9, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Philip Morris Intern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Is Philip Morris International a Long Term Investment Examining Its Growth and Valuation |
Check out Philip Morris Backtesting, Philip Morris Valuation, Philip Morris Correlation, Philip Morris Hype Analysis, Philip Morris Volatility, Philip Morris History as well as Philip Morris Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.493 | Dividend Share 5.25 | Earnings Share 6.31 | Revenue Per Share 23.958 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.084 |
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philip Morris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.