PostNL NV (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.04
| PNL Stock | EUR 1.05 0.01 0.94% |
PostNL |
PostNL NV Target Price Odds to finish over 1.04
The tendency of PostNL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 1.04 in 90 days |
| 1.05 | 90 days | 1.04 | about 82.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PostNL NV to stay above € 1.04 in 90 days from now is about 82.14 (This PostNL NV probability density function shows the probability of PostNL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PostNL NV price to stay between € 1.04 and its current price of €1.05 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PostNL NV has a beta of -0.27 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PostNL NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PostNL NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PostNL NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PostNL NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PostNL NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PostNL NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PostNL NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PostNL NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PostNL NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PostNL NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PostNL NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
PostNL NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PostNL NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PostNL NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PostNL NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PostNL NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
PostNL NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PostNL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PostNL NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PostNL NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 513.3 M |
PostNL NV Technical Analysis
PostNL NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PostNL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PostNL NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing PostNL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PostNL NV Predictive Forecast Models
PostNL NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many PostNL NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PostNL NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PostNL NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about PostNL NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PostNL NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PostNL NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PostNL NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for PostNL Stock Analysis
When running PostNL NV's price analysis, check to measure PostNL NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PostNL NV is operating at the current time. Most of PostNL NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PostNL NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PostNL NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PostNL NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.