Pentair Plc (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 96.88
| PNT Stock | EUR 103.50 0.05 0.05% |
Pentair |
Pentair Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 96.88
The tendency of Pentair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 96.88 or more in 90 days |
| 103.50 | 90 days | 96.88 | about 79.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pentair Plc to drop to € 96.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 79.39 (This Pentair plc probability density function shows the probability of Pentair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pentair plc price to stay between € 96.88 and its current price of €103.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pentair Plc has a beta of 0.66 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pentair Plc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pentair plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pentair plc has an alpha of 0.3244, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pentair Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pentair Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pentair plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pentair Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pentair Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pentair Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pentair plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pentair Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Pentair Plc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pentair Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pentair plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pentair plc has accumulated €2.32 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Pentair Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pentair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pentair Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pentair Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.5 M |
Pentair Plc Technical Analysis
Pentair Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pentair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pentair plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pentair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pentair Plc Predictive Forecast Models
Pentair Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pentair Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pentair Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pentair plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pentair Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pentair plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pentair plc has accumulated €2.32 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Pentair Stock
When determining whether Pentair plc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pentair Plc's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pentair Plc's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pentair Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Pentair Plc Backtesting, Pentair Plc Valuation, Pentair Plc Correlation, Pentair Plc Hype Analysis, Pentair Plc Volatility, Pentair Plc History as well as Pentair Plc Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Pentair Stock please use our How to Invest in Pentair Plc guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.