Polished Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.50

POLDelisted Stock  USD 0.54  0.01  1.89%   
Polished's future price is the expected price of Polished instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Polished performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify Polished's target price for which you would like Polished odds to be computed.

Polished Target Price Odds to finish over 0.50

The tendency of Polished Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.50  in 90 days
 0.54 90 days 0.50 
about 41.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Polished to stay above $ 0.50  in 90 days from now is about 41.56 (This Polished probability density function shows the probability of Polished Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Polished price to stay between $ 0.50  and its current price of $0.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Polished has a beta of 0.35 indicating as returns on the market go up, Polished average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Polished will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Polished has an alpha of 0.3734, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Polished Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Polished

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polished. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.540.540.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.450.450.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.490.490.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.500.95
Details

Polished Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Polished is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Polished's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Polished, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Polished within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Polished Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Polished for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Polished can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Polished is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Polished has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Polished has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 534.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (125.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 79.66 M.
Polished has about 19.55 M in cash with (46.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Polished Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Polished Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Polished's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polished's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.5 M

Polished Technical Analysis

Polished's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Polished Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Polished. In general, you should focus on analyzing Polished Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Polished Predictive Forecast Models

Polished's time-series forecasting models is one of many Polished's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Polished's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Polished

Checking the ongoing alerts about Polished for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Polished help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Polished is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Polished has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Polished has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 534.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (125.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 79.66 M.
Polished has about 19.55 M in cash with (46.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Polished Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Polished check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Polished's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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