POLY Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 0.2

POLY Crypto  USD 0.1  0.11  53.81%   
POLY's future price is the expected price of POLY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POLY performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POLY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, POLY Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, POLY Volatility, POLY History as well as POLY Performance.
  
Please specify POLY's target price for which you would like POLY odds to be computed.

POLY Target Price Odds to finish below 0.2

The tendency of POLY Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.20  after 90 days
 0.1 90 days 0.20 
about 23.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POLY to stay under $ 0.20  after 90 days from now is about 23.45 (This POLY probability density function shows the probability of POLY Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POLY price to stay between its current price of $ 0.1  and $ 0.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POLY has a beta of 0.75 indicating as returns on the market go up, POLY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding POLY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally POLY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   POLY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POLY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POLY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.106.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.096.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.16.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.210.24
Details

POLY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POLY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POLY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POLY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POLY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

POLY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POLY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POLY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POLY has high historical volatility and very poor performance
POLY has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency

POLY Technical Analysis

POLY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POLY Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POLY. In general, you should focus on analyzing POLY Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POLY Predictive Forecast Models

POLY's time-series forecasting models is one of many POLY's crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POLY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POLY

Checking the ongoing alerts about POLY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POLY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POLY has high historical volatility and very poor performance
POLY has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
When determining whether POLY offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of POLY's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Poly Crypto.
Check out POLY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, POLY Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, POLY Volatility, POLY History as well as POLY Performance.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between POLY's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine POLY value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, POLY's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.