Portland General Electric Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.53

POR Stock  USD 44.53  0.63  1.40%   
Portland General's future price is the expected price of Portland General instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Portland General Electric performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Portland General Backtesting, Portland General Valuation, Portland General Correlation, Portland General Hype Analysis, Portland General Volatility, Portland General History as well as Portland General Performance.
  
At this time, Portland General's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/12/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 1.68, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (1.65). Please specify Portland General's target price for which you would like Portland General odds to be computed.

Portland General Target Price Odds to finish over 44.53

The tendency of Portland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 44.53 90 days 44.53 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Portland General to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Portland General Electric probability density function shows the probability of Portland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Portland General has a beta of 0.34 indicating as returns on the market go up, Portland General average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Portland General Electric will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Portland General Electric has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Portland General Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Portland General

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Portland General Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.0945.0746.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.5546.8447.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.7043.6844.65
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.3447.6352.87
Details

Portland General Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Portland General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Portland General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Portland General Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Portland General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Portland General Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Portland General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Portland General Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Portland General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Portland General Electric has 4.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.32, which is OK given its current industry classification. Portland General Electric has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Portland to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Portland General has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of Portland General shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Portland General paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Portland General Electrics SWOT analysis stock faces growth vs financing balance

Portland General Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Portland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Portland General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portland General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Portland General Technical Analysis

Portland General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Portland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Portland General Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing Portland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Portland General Predictive Forecast Models

Portland General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Portland General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Portland General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Portland General Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about Portland General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Portland General Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Portland General generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Portland General Electric has 4.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.32, which is OK given its current industry classification. Portland General Electric has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Portland to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Portland General has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of Portland General shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of October 2024 Portland General paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Portland General Electrics SWOT analysis stock faces growth vs financing balance

Additional Tools for Portland Stock Analysis

When running Portland General's price analysis, check to measure Portland General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Portland General is operating at the current time. Most of Portland General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Portland General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Portland General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Portland General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.