POT (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17,920

POT Stock   14,800  1,100  6.92%   
POT's future price is the expected price of POT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PostTelecommunication Equipment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POT Backtesting, POT Valuation, POT Correlation, POT Hype Analysis, POT Volatility, POT History as well as POT Performance.
  
Please specify POT's target price for which you would like POT odds to be computed.

POT Target Price Odds to finish over 17,920

The tendency of POT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14,800 90 days 14,800 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PostTelecommunication Equipment probability density function shows the probability of POT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PostTelecommunication Equipment has a beta of -0.78 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding POT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PostTelecommunication Equipment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PostTelecommunication Equipment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   POT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PostTelecommunication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,79514,80014,805
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,30913,31416,280
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,64814,65314,658
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,01716,73718,456
Details

POT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PostTelecommunication Equipment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.78
σ
Overall volatility
941.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

POT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PostTelecommunication can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POT has high historical volatility and very poor performance

POT Technical Analysis

POT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PostTelecommunication Equipment. In general, you should focus on analyzing POT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POT Predictive Forecast Models

POT's time-series forecasting models is one of many POT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PostTelecommunication

Checking the ongoing alerts about POT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PostTelecommunication help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POT has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in POT Stock

POT financial ratios help investors to determine whether POT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POT with respect to the benefits of owning POT security.