Pha Lai (Vietnam) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9234.0

PPC Stock   11,400  100.00  0.87%   
Pha Lai's future price is the expected price of Pha Lai instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pha Lai Thermal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pha Lai Backtesting, Pha Lai Valuation, Pha Lai Correlation, Pha Lai Hype Analysis, Pha Lai Volatility, Pha Lai History as well as Pha Lai Performance.
  
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Pha Lai Target Price Odds to finish over 9234.0

The tendency of Pha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  9,234  in 90 days
 11,400 90 days 9,234 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pha Lai to stay above  9,234  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Pha Lai Thermal probability density function shows the probability of Pha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pha Lai Thermal price to stay between  9,234  and its current price of 11400.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pha Lai has a beta of 0.27 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pha Lai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pha Lai Thermal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pha Lai Thermal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pha Lai Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pha Lai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pha Lai Thermal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,39911,40011,401
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,2339,23412,540
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,32111,32311,324
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,77211,35211,931
Details

Pha Lai Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pha Lai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pha Lai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pha Lai Thermal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pha Lai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
532.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Pha Lai Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pha Lai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pha Lai Thermal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pha Lai Thermal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Pha Lai Technical Analysis

Pha Lai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pha Lai Thermal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pha Lai Predictive Forecast Models

Pha Lai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pha Lai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pha Lai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pha Lai Thermal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pha Lai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pha Lai Thermal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pha Lai Thermal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Pha Stock

Pha Lai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pha with respect to the benefits of owning Pha Lai security.