Princeton Premium Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.76

PPFAX Fund  USD 11.76  0.01  0.09%   
Princeton Premium's future price is the expected price of Princeton Premium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Princeton Premium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Princeton Premium Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Princeton Premium Correlation, Princeton Premium Hype Analysis, Princeton Premium Volatility, Princeton Premium History as well as Princeton Premium Performance.
  
Please specify Princeton Premium's target price for which you would like Princeton Premium odds to be computed.

Princeton Premium Target Price Odds to finish below 11.76

The tendency of Princeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 11.76 90 days 11.76 
about 48.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Princeton Premium to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 48.24 (This Princeton Premium probability density function shows the probability of Princeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Princeton Premium has a beta of 0.0281 indicating as returns on the market go up, Princeton Premium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Princeton Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Princeton Premium has an alpha of 0.0031, implying that it can generate a 0.003095 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Princeton Premium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Princeton Premium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Princeton Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6311.7611.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6311.7611.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Princeton Premium. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Princeton Premium's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Princeton Premium's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Princeton Premium.

Princeton Premium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Princeton Premium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Princeton Premium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Princeton Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Princeton Premium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.64

Princeton Premium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Princeton Premium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Princeton Premium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 99.94% of its assets in cash

Princeton Premium Technical Analysis

Princeton Premium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Princeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Princeton Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Princeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Princeton Premium Predictive Forecast Models

Princeton Premium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Princeton Premium's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Princeton Premium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Princeton Premium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Princeton Premium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Princeton Premium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 99.94% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Princeton Mutual Fund

Princeton Premium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Princeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Princeton with respect to the benefits of owning Princeton Premium security.
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