Premier Products (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.38

PPP Stock  THB 1.46  0.04  2.82%   
Premier Products' future price is the expected price of Premier Products instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Premier Products Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Premier Products Backtesting, Premier Products Valuation, Premier Products Correlation, Premier Products Hype Analysis, Premier Products Volatility, Premier Products History as well as Premier Products Performance.
  
Please specify Premier Products' target price for which you would like Premier Products odds to be computed.

Premier Products Target Price Odds to finish below 1.38

The tendency of Premier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.38  or more in 90 days
 1.46 90 days 1.38 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Premier Products to drop to  1.38  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Premier Products Public probability density function shows the probability of Premier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Premier Products Public price to stay between  1.38  and its current price of 1.46 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Premier Products has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Premier Products average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Premier Products Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Premier Products Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Premier Products Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Premier Products

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier Products Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.463.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.283.75
Details

Premier Products Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Premier Products is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Premier Products' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Premier Products Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Premier Products within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Premier Products Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Premier Products for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Premier Products Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premier Products generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Premier Products may become a speculative penny stock
Premier Products Public has accumulated 393.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 33.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Premier Products Public has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Premier Products until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Premier Products' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Premier Products Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Premier to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Premier Products' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 958.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 266.83 M.
About 64.0% of Premier Products outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Premier Products Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Premier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Premier Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding300 M

Premier Products Technical Analysis

Premier Products' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Premier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Premier Products Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Premier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Premier Products Predictive Forecast Models

Premier Products' time-series forecasting models is one of many Premier Products' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Premier Products' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Premier Products Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Premier Products for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Premier Products Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Premier Products generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Premier Products may become a speculative penny stock
Premier Products Public has accumulated 393.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 33.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Premier Products Public has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Premier Products until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Premier Products' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Premier Products Public sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Premier to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Premier Products' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 958.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 266.83 M.
About 64.0% of Premier Products outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Products financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Products security.