Pioneer Power Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.99
| PPSI Stock | USD 5.83 0.04 0.69% |
Closest to current price Pioneer long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Pioneer |
Pioneer Power Target Price Odds to finish below 5.99
The tendency of Pioneer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.99 after 90 days |
| 5.83 | 90 days | 5.99 | about 69.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pioneer Power to stay under $ 5.99 after 90 days from now is about 69.79 (This Pioneer Power Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Pioneer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pioneer Power Solutions price to stay between its current price of $ 5.83 and $ 5.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pioneer Power has a beta of 0.21 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pioneer Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pioneer Power Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pioneer Power Solutions has an alpha of 0.5019, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pioneer Power Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pioneer Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pioneer Power Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pioneer Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pioneer Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pioneer Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pioneer Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pioneer Power Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pioneer Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Pioneer Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pioneer Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pioneer Power Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pioneer Power had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.39 M. | |
| Pioneer Power Solutions currently holds about 9.79 M in cash with (3.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01. | |
| Pioneer Power has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Shanghai Pioneer Holding Ltd Stock Rockets 25 percent As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected |
Pioneer Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pioneer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pioneer Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pioneer Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.3 M |
Pioneer Power Technical Analysis
Pioneer Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pioneer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pioneer Power Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pioneer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pioneer Power Predictive Forecast Models
Pioneer Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pioneer Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pioneer Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pioneer Power Solutions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pioneer Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pioneer Power Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pioneer Power had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 40.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.39 M. | |
| Pioneer Power Solutions currently holds about 9.79 M in cash with (3.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.01. | |
| Pioneer Power has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Shanghai Pioneer Holding Ltd Stock Rockets 25 percent As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected |
Check out Pioneer Power Backtesting, Pioneer Power Valuation, Pioneer Power Correlation, Pioneer Power Hype Analysis, Pioneer Power Volatility, Pioneer Power History as well as Pioneer Power Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Heavy Electrical Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pioneer Power. If investors know Pioneer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pioneer Power listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Earnings Share (0.87) | Revenue Per Share 3.376 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.48) | Return On Assets (0.14) |
The market value of Pioneer Power Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pioneer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pioneer Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pioneer Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pioneer Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pioneer Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pioneer Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pioneer Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pioneer Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.