Permian Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.69

PR Stock  USD 15.15  0.45  2.88%   
Permian Resources' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Permian Resources. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Permian Resources based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Permian Resources over a specific time period. For example, PR Option Call 20-12-2024 15 is a CALL option contract on Permian Resources' common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-02 at 15:55:42 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Permian options

Closest to current price Permian long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Permian Resources' future price is the expected price of Permian Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Permian Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Permian Resources Backtesting, Permian Resources Valuation, Permian Resources Correlation, Permian Resources Hype Analysis, Permian Resources Volatility, Permian Resources History as well as Permian Resources Performance.
To learn how to invest in Permian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Permian Resources guide.
  
At this time, Permian Resources' Price Book Value Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/04/2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 11.88, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 9.47. Please specify Permian Resources' target price for which you would like Permian Resources odds to be computed.

Permian Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 8.69

The tendency of Permian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.69  or more in 90 days
 15.15 90 days 8.69 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Permian Resources to drop to $ 8.69  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Permian Resources probability density function shows the probability of Permian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Permian Resources price to stay between $ 8.69  and its current price of $15.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.29 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Permian Resources has a beta of 0.94 indicating Permian Resources market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Permian Resources is expected to follow. Additionally Permian Resources has an alpha of 0.0666, implying that it can generate a 0.0666 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Permian Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Permian Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Permian Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4415.4317.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1916.1818.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.9414.9316.93
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.8017.3619.27
Details

Permian Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Permian Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Permian Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Permian Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Permian Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Permian Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Permian Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Permian Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Permian Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Permian Resources reports 3.91 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Permian Resources has a current ratio of 0.71, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Permian to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 96.0% of Permian Resources shares are owned by institutional investors
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Permian Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Permian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Permian Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Permian Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding389.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.3 M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Permian Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Permian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Permian Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Permian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Permian Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Permian Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Permian Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Permian Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Permian Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Permian Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Permian Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Permian Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Permian Resources reports 3.91 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Permian Resources has a current ratio of 0.71, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Permian to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 96.0% of Permian Resources shares are owned by institutional investors
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Additional Tools for Permian Stock Analysis

When running Permian Resources' price analysis, check to measure Permian Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Permian Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Permian Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Permian Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Permian Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Permian Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.