Praxis Home (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.98

PRAXIS Stock   19.11  0.06  0.31%   
Praxis Home's future price is the expected price of Praxis Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Praxis Home Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Praxis Home Backtesting, Praxis Home Valuation, Praxis Home Correlation, Praxis Home Hype Analysis, Praxis Home Volatility, Praxis Home History as well as Praxis Home Performance.
  
Please specify Praxis Home's target price for which you would like Praxis Home odds to be computed.

Praxis Home Target Price Odds to finish below 11.98

The tendency of Praxis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.98  or more in 90 days
 19.11 90 days 11.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Praxis Home to drop to  11.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Praxis Home Retail probability density function shows the probability of Praxis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Praxis Home Retail price to stay between  11.98  and its current price of 19.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Praxis Home has a beta of 0.59 indicating as returns on the market go up, Praxis Home average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Praxis Home Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Praxis Home Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Praxis Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Praxis Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Praxis Home Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1619.9422.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6117.3920.17
Details

Praxis Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Praxis Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Praxis Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Praxis Home Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Praxis Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Praxis Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Praxis Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Praxis Home Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Praxis Home Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Praxis Home Retail has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 2.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (857.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 B.
Praxis Home Retail has accumulated about 17.85 M in cash with (287.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Praxis Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Praxis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Praxis Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Praxis Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding113.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.6 M

Praxis Home Technical Analysis

Praxis Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Praxis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Praxis Home Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Praxis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Praxis Home Predictive Forecast Models

Praxis Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Praxis Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Praxis Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Praxis Home Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Praxis Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Praxis Home Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Praxis Home Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Praxis Home Retail has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 2.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (857.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 B.
Praxis Home Retail has accumulated about 17.85 M in cash with (287.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Praxis Stock

Praxis Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Praxis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Praxis with respect to the benefits of owning Praxis Home security.