Parabellum Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.18

PRBMDelisted Stock  USD 10.18  0.00  0.00%   
Parabellum Acquisition's future price is the expected price of Parabellum Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Parabellum Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify Parabellum Acquisition's target price for which you would like Parabellum Acquisition odds to be computed.

Parabellum Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 10.18

The tendency of Parabellum Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 10.18 90 days 10.18 
about 27.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Parabellum Acquisition to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 27.25 (This Parabellum Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Parabellum Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Parabellum Acquisition Corp has a beta of -0.0486 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Parabellum Acquisition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Parabellum Acquisition Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Parabellum Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.006, implying that it can generate a 0.005987 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Parabellum Acquisition Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Parabellum Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parabellum Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1810.1810.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.718.7111.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1310.1310.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0810.2710.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Parabellum Acquisition. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Parabellum Acquisition's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Parabellum Acquisition's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Parabellum Acquisition.

Parabellum Acquisition Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Parabellum Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Parabellum Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Parabellum Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Parabellum Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Parabellum Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Parabellum Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Parabellum Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parabellum Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Parabellum Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Parabellum Acquisition Corp currently holds about 613.6 K in cash with (1.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Parabellum Acquisition Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Parabellum Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Parabellum Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parabellum Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Short Prior Month397
Shares Float12.1 M
Short Percent0.0001

Parabellum Acquisition Technical Analysis

Parabellum Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Parabellum Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Parabellum Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Parabellum Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Parabellum Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models

Parabellum Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Parabellum Acquisition's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Parabellum Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Parabellum Acquisition

Checking the ongoing alerts about Parabellum Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Parabellum Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parabellum Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Parabellum Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Parabellum Acquisition Corp currently holds about 613.6 K in cash with (1.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Other Consideration for investing in Parabellum Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Parabellum Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Parabellum Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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