Perritt Microcap Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.33
| PRCGX Fund | USD 24.01 0.18 0.74% |
Perritt |
Perritt Microcap Target Price Odds to finish below 19.33
The tendency of Perritt Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.33 or more in 90 days |
| 24.01 | 90 days | 19.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perritt Microcap to drop to $ 19.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Perritt Microcap Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Perritt Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perritt Microcap Opp price to stay between $ 19.33 and its current price of $24.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Perritt Microcap has a beta of 0.29 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perritt Microcap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perritt Microcap Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perritt Microcap Opportunities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Perritt Microcap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perritt Microcap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perritt Microcap Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perritt Microcap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perritt Microcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perritt Microcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perritt Microcap Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perritt Microcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Perritt Microcap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perritt Microcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perritt Microcap Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Perritt Microcap Opp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 99.27% of its assets in stocks |
Perritt Microcap Technical Analysis
Perritt Microcap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perritt Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perritt Microcap Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perritt Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perritt Microcap Predictive Forecast Models
Perritt Microcap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perritt Microcap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perritt Microcap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perritt Microcap Opp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perritt Microcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perritt Microcap Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Perritt Microcap Opp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 99.27% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Perritt Mutual Fund
Perritt Microcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perritt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perritt with respect to the benefits of owning Perritt Microcap security.
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