Perritt Microcap Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.60

PRCGX Fund  USD 23.84  0.27  1.12%   
Perritt Microcap's future price is the expected price of Perritt Microcap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Perritt Microcap Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Perritt Microcap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Perritt Microcap Correlation, Perritt Microcap Hype Analysis, Perritt Microcap Volatility, Perritt Microcap History as well as Perritt Microcap Performance.
  
Please specify Perritt Microcap's target price for which you would like Perritt Microcap odds to be computed.

Perritt Microcap Target Price Odds to finish over 26.60

The tendency of Perritt Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.60  or more in 90 days
 23.84 90 days 26.60 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perritt Microcap to move over $ 26.60  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Perritt Microcap Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Perritt Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perritt Microcap Opp price to stay between its current price of $ 23.84  and $ 26.60  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.35 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Perritt Microcap will likely underperform. Additionally Perritt Microcap Opportunities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Perritt Microcap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Perritt Microcap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perritt Microcap Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2923.8425.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6224.1725.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Perritt Microcap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Perritt Microcap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Perritt Microcap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Perritt Microcap Opp.

Perritt Microcap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perritt Microcap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perritt Microcap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perritt Microcap Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perritt Microcap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Perritt Microcap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perritt Microcap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perritt Microcap Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Perritt Microcap Opp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.27% of its assets in stocks

Perritt Microcap Technical Analysis

Perritt Microcap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perritt Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perritt Microcap Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perritt Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Perritt Microcap Predictive Forecast Models

Perritt Microcap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perritt Microcap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perritt Microcap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Perritt Microcap Opp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Perritt Microcap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perritt Microcap Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Perritt Microcap Opp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.27% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Perritt Mutual Fund

Perritt Microcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perritt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perritt with respect to the benefits of owning Perritt Microcap security.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.