Parks America Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.42

PRKA Stock  USD 0.43  0.02  4.44%   
Parks America's future price is the expected price of Parks America instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Parks America performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Parks America Backtesting, Parks America Valuation, Parks America Correlation, Parks America Hype Analysis, Parks America Volatility, Parks America History as well as Parks America Performance.
  
Please specify Parks America's target price for which you would like Parks America odds to be computed.

Parks America Target Price Odds to finish below 0.42

The tendency of Parks Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.42  or more in 90 days
 0.43 90 days 0.42 
about 30.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Parks America to drop to $ 0.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.18 (This Parks America probability density function shows the probability of Parks Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Parks America price to stay between $ 0.42  and its current price of $0.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Parks America has a beta of 0.33 indicating as returns on the market go up, Parks America average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Parks America will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Parks America has an alpha of 0.1438, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Parks America Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Parks America

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parks America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.434.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.364.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.444.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.400.440.47
Details

Parks America Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Parks America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Parks America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Parks America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Parks America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Parks America Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Parks America for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Parks America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parks America has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Parks America had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Parks America Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Parks Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Parks America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parks America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.2 K
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 M

Parks America Technical Analysis

Parks America's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Parks Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Parks America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Parks Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Parks America Predictive Forecast Models

Parks America's time-series forecasting models is one of many Parks America's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Parks America's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Parks America

Checking the ongoing alerts about Parks America for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Parks America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parks America has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Parks America had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Parks Pink Sheet

Parks America financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parks Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parks with respect to the benefits of owning Parks America security.