Prairie Provident Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0213

PRPRF Stock  USD 0.02  0  8.19%   
Prairie Provident's future price is the expected price of Prairie Provident instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prairie Provident Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prairie Provident Backtesting, Prairie Provident Valuation, Prairie Provident Correlation, Prairie Provident Hype Analysis, Prairie Provident Volatility, Prairie Provident History as well as Prairie Provident Performance.
  
Please specify Prairie Provident's target price for which you would like Prairie Provident odds to be computed.

Prairie Provident Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0213

The tendency of Prairie Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 79.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prairie Provident to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.48 (This Prairie Provident Resources probability density function shows the probability of Prairie Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prairie Provident has a beta of 0.48 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prairie Provident average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prairie Provident Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prairie Provident Resources has an alpha of 0.2301, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prairie Provident Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prairie Provident

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prairie Provident. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0213.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0213.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0213.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details

Prairie Provident Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prairie Provident is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prairie Provident's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prairie Provident Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prairie Provident within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Prairie Provident Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prairie Provident for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prairie Provident can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prairie Provident had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Prairie Provident has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Prairie Provident Resources has accumulated 109.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.93, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Prairie Provident has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prairie Provident until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prairie Provident's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prairie Provident sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prairie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prairie Provident's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Prairie Provident Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prairie Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prairie Provident's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prairie Provident's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.7 M

Prairie Provident Technical Analysis

Prairie Provident's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prairie Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prairie Provident Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prairie Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prairie Provident Predictive Forecast Models

Prairie Provident's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prairie Provident's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prairie Provident's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prairie Provident

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prairie Provident for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prairie Provident help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prairie Provident had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Prairie Provident has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Prairie Provident Resources has accumulated 109.36 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.93, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Prairie Provident has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Prairie Provident until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Prairie Provident's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Prairie Provident sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Prairie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Prairie Provident's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Prairie Pink Sheet

Prairie Provident financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prairie Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prairie with respect to the benefits of owning Prairie Provident security.