Prospect Capital Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 13.93
| PSEC-PA Preferred Stock | 17.92 0.03 0.17% |
Prospect |
Prospect Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 13.93
The tendency of Prospect Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.93 or more in 90 days |
| 17.92 | 90 days | 13.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prospect Capital to drop to 13.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prospect Capital probability density function shows the probability of Prospect Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prospect Capital price to stay between 13.93 and its current price of 17.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prospect Capital has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prospect Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prospect Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prospect Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prospect Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prospect Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prospect Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prospect Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prospect Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prospect Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prospect Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prospect Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Prospect Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prospect Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prospect Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prospect Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Prospect Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (101.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 852.21 M. | |
| Prospect Capital generates negative cash flow from operations |
Prospect Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prospect Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prospect Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prospect Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 404 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.6 M |
Prospect Capital Technical Analysis
Prospect Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prospect Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prospect Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prospect Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prospect Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Prospect Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prospect Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prospect Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prospect Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prospect Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prospect Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prospect Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Prospect Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (101.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 852.21 M. | |
| Prospect Capital generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Prospect Preferred Stock
Prospect Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prospect Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prospect with respect to the benefits of owning Prospect Capital security.