Petroshale Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0

PSHIF Stock  USD 0.28  0.01  3.45%   
PetroShale's future price is the expected price of PetroShale instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PetroShale performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PetroShale Backtesting, PetroShale Valuation, PetroShale Correlation, PetroShale Hype Analysis, PetroShale Volatility, PetroShale History as well as PetroShale Performance.
  
Please specify PetroShale's target price for which you would like PetroShale odds to be computed.

PetroShale Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of PetroShale OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PetroShale to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PetroShale probability density function shows the probability of PetroShale OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PetroShale price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $0.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PetroShale has a beta of 0.51 indicating as returns on the market go up, PetroShale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PetroShale will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PetroShale has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PetroShale Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PetroShale

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PetroShale. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.282.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.262.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.272.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.280.290.30
Details

PetroShale Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PetroShale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PetroShale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PetroShale, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PetroShale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

PetroShale Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PetroShale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PetroShale can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetroShale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PetroShale has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PetroShale has accumulated 180.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. PetroShale has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PetroShale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PetroShale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PetroShale sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PetroShale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PetroShale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 229.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (828 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 133.72 M.
About 25.0% of PetroShale outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

PetroShale Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PetroShale OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PetroShale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PetroShale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding523.4 M

PetroShale Technical Analysis

PetroShale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PetroShale OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PetroShale. In general, you should focus on analyzing PetroShale OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PetroShale Predictive Forecast Models

PetroShale's time-series forecasting models is one of many PetroShale's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PetroShale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PetroShale

Checking the ongoing alerts about PetroShale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PetroShale help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PetroShale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PetroShale has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PetroShale has accumulated 180.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. PetroShale has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PetroShale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PetroShale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PetroShale sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PetroShale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PetroShale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 229.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (828 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 133.72 M.
About 25.0% of PetroShale outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in PetroShale OTC Stock

PetroShale financial ratios help investors to determine whether PetroShale OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PetroShale with respect to the benefits of owning PetroShale security.