Playtech Plc (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 718.0

PTEC Stock   714.00  4.00  0.56%   
Playtech Plc's future price is the expected price of Playtech Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Playtech Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Playtech Plc Backtesting, Playtech Plc Valuation, Playtech Plc Correlation, Playtech Plc Hype Analysis, Playtech Plc Volatility, Playtech Plc History as well as Playtech Plc Performance.
  
Please specify Playtech Plc's target price for which you would like Playtech Plc odds to be computed.

Playtech Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 718.0

The tendency of Playtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  718.00  after 90 days
 714.00 90 days 718.00 
about 9.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Playtech Plc to stay under  718.00  after 90 days from now is about 9.48 (This Playtech Plc probability density function shows the probability of Playtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Playtech Plc price to stay between its current price of  714.00  and  718.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Playtech Plc has a beta of -0.3 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Playtech Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Playtech Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Playtech Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Playtech Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Playtech Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Playtech Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
712.61713.46714.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
563.21564.06785.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.150.150.16
Details

Playtech Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Playtech Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Playtech Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Playtech Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Playtech Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
10.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Playtech Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Playtech Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Playtech Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Playtech Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Playtech Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Playtech plcs PS Is Not Telling You - Simply Wall St

Playtech Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Playtech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Playtech Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Playtech Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding311.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments516.2 M

Playtech Plc Technical Analysis

Playtech Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Playtech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Playtech Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Playtech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Playtech Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Playtech Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Playtech Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Playtech Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Playtech Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Playtech Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Playtech Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Playtech Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Playtech Plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Playtech plcs PS Is Not Telling You - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Playtech Stock Analysis

When running Playtech Plc's price analysis, check to measure Playtech Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Playtech Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Playtech Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Playtech Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Playtech Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Playtech Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.