Petrus Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.02

PTRUF Stock  USD 1.03  0.02  1.98%   
Petrus Resources' future price is the expected price of Petrus Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Petrus Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Petrus Resources Backtesting, Petrus Resources Valuation, Petrus Resources Correlation, Petrus Resources Hype Analysis, Petrus Resources Volatility, Petrus Resources History as well as Petrus Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Petrus Resources' target price for which you would like Petrus Resources odds to be computed.

Petrus Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 1.02

The tendency of Petrus OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.02  or more in 90 days
 1.03 90 days 1.02 
about 60.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Petrus Resources to drop to $ 1.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.72 (This Petrus Resources probability density function shows the probability of Petrus OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Petrus Resources price to stay between $ 1.02  and its current price of $1.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Petrus Resources has a beta of 0.2 indicating as returns on the market go up, Petrus Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Petrus Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Petrus Resources has an alpha of 0.0897, implying that it can generate a 0.0897 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Petrus Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Petrus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petrus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Petrus Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.032.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.832.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.022.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.001.031.06
Details

Petrus Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Petrus Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Petrus Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Petrus Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Petrus Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.0065

Petrus Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Petrus Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Petrus Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Petrus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Petrus Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Petrus OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Petrus Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Petrus Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.7 M

Petrus Resources Technical Analysis

Petrus Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Petrus OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Petrus Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Petrus OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Petrus Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Petrus Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Petrus Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Petrus Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Petrus Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Petrus Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Petrus Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Petrus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Petrus OTC Stock

Petrus Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Petrus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Petrus with respect to the benefits of owning Petrus Resources security.