Public Storage (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 303.82
| PUP Stock | EUR 304.90 0.20 0.07% |
Public |
Public Storage Target Price Odds to finish below 303.82
The tendency of Public Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 303.82 or more in 90 days |
| 304.90 | 90 days | 303.82 | about 8.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Public Storage to drop to € 303.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This Public Storage probability density function shows the probability of Public Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Public Storage price to stay between € 303.82 and its current price of €304.9 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Public Storage has a beta of 0.92 indicating Public Storage market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Public Storage is expected to follow. Additionally Public Storage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Public Storage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Public Storage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Public Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Public Storage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Public Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Public Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Public Storage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Public Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Public Storage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Public Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Public Storage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Public Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Public Storage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Public Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Public Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Public Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.3 M |
Public Storage Technical Analysis
Public Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Public Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Public Storage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Public Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Public Storage Predictive Forecast Models
Public Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Public Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Public Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Public Storage
Checking the ongoing alerts about Public Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Public Storage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Public Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Public Stock
When determining whether Public Storage offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Public Storage's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Public Storage Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Public Storage Stock:Check out Public Storage Backtesting, Public Storage Valuation, Public Storage Correlation, Public Storage Hype Analysis, Public Storage Volatility, Public Storage History as well as Public Storage Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Public Stock please use our How to Invest in Public Storage guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.