Lyxor PEA (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 73.65

PUST Etf  EUR 81.81  0.40  0.49%   
Lyxor PEA's future price is the expected price of Lyxor PEA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lyxor PEA Nasdaq performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lyxor PEA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lyxor PEA Correlation, Lyxor PEA Hype Analysis, Lyxor PEA Volatility, Lyxor PEA History as well as Lyxor PEA Performance.
  
Please specify Lyxor PEA's target price for which you would like Lyxor PEA odds to be computed.

Lyxor PEA Target Price Odds to finish below 73.65

The tendency of Lyxor Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 73.65  or more in 90 days
 81.81 90 days 73.65 
about 29.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lyxor PEA to drop to € 73.65  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.74 (This Lyxor PEA Nasdaq probability density function shows the probability of Lyxor Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lyxor PEA Nasdaq price to stay between € 73.65  and its current price of €81.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lyxor PEA has a beta of 0.26 indicating as returns on the market go up, Lyxor PEA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lyxor PEA Nasdaq will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lyxor PEA Nasdaq has an alpha of 0.2517, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lyxor PEA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lyxor PEA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyxor PEA Nasdaq. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.7981.8182.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.6387.4388.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.0482.0683.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.3178.2283.13
Details

Lyxor PEA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lyxor PEA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lyxor PEA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lyxor PEA Nasdaq, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lyxor PEA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
3.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Lyxor PEA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lyxor PEA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lyxor PEA Nasdaq can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Lyxor PEA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lyxor Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lyxor PEA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lyxor PEA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10.02k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.52k

Lyxor PEA Technical Analysis

Lyxor PEA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lyxor Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lyxor PEA Nasdaq. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lyxor Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lyxor PEA Predictive Forecast Models

Lyxor PEA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lyxor PEA's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lyxor PEA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lyxor PEA Nasdaq

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lyxor PEA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lyxor PEA Nasdaq help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Lyxor Etf

Lyxor PEA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lyxor Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lyxor with respect to the benefits of owning Lyxor PEA security.