Plexus Corp (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 166.75

PX4 Stock  EUR 151.00  0.00  0.00%   
Plexus Corp's future price is the expected price of Plexus Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Plexus Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Plexus Corp Backtesting, Plexus Corp Valuation, Plexus Corp Correlation, Plexus Corp Hype Analysis, Plexus Corp Volatility, Plexus Corp History as well as Plexus Corp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Plexus Stock please use our How to Invest in Plexus Corp guide.
  
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Plexus Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 166.75

The tendency of Plexus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 166.75  or more in 90 days
 151.00 90 days 166.75 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plexus Corp to move over € 166.75  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Plexus Corp probability density function shows the probability of Plexus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Plexus Corp price to stay between its current price of € 151.00  and € 166.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Plexus Corp has a beta of 0.41 indicating as returns on the market go up, Plexus Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Plexus Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Plexus Corp has an alpha of 0.3831, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Plexus Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Plexus Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plexus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
148.75151.00153.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.90171.98174.24
Details

Plexus Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plexus Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plexus Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plexus Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plexus Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
14.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Plexus Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plexus Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plexus Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plexus Corp has accumulated about 184.03 M in cash with (26.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Plexus Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plexus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plexus Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plexus Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.7 M

Plexus Corp Technical Analysis

Plexus Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plexus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plexus Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plexus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Plexus Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Plexus Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plexus Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plexus Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Plexus Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Plexus Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plexus Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Plexus Corp has accumulated about 184.03 M in cash with (26.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Plexus Stock

When determining whether Plexus Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Plexus Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Plexus Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Plexus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Plexus Corp Backtesting, Plexus Corp Valuation, Plexus Corp Correlation, Plexus Corp Hype Analysis, Plexus Corp Volatility, Plexus Corp History as well as Plexus Corp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Plexus Stock please use our How to Invest in Plexus Corp guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Plexus Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Plexus Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Plexus Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.