Polytec Holding (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| PYT Stock | EUR 2.10 0.01 0.47% |
Polytec |
Polytec Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Polytec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 2.10 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Polytec Holding to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Polytec Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Polytec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Polytec Holding AG price to stay between € 0.02 and its current price of €2.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Polytec Holding has a beta of 0.59 indicating as returns on the market go up, Polytec Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Polytec Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Polytec Holding AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Polytec Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Polytec Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Polytec Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Polytec Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Polytec Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Polytec Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Polytec Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Polytec Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Polytec Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Polytec Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Polytec Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Polytec Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Polytec Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Polytec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Polytec Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Polytec Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M |
Polytec Holding Technical Analysis
Polytec Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Polytec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Polytec Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Polytec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Polytec Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Polytec Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Polytec Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Polytec Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Polytec Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Polytec Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Polytec Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Polytec Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Polytec Stock
Polytec Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Polytec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Polytec with respect to the benefits of owning Polytec Holding security.