Powszechny Zaklad (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.03
| PZU Stock | 46.03 0.30 0.66% |
Powszechny |
Powszechny Zaklad Target Price Odds to finish below 46.03
The tendency of Powszechny Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 46.03 | 90 days | 46.03 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Powszechny Zaklad to move below current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen probability density function shows the probability of Powszechny Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen has a beta of -0.36 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Powszechny Zaklad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen has an alpha of 0.1672, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Powszechny Zaklad Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Powszechny Zaklad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Powszechny Zaklad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Powszechny Zaklad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Powszechny Zaklad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Powszechny Zaklad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Powszechny Zaklad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Powszechny Zaklad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Powszechny Zaklad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Powszechny Zaklad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Powszechny Zaklad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Powszechny Zaklad Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Powszechny Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Powszechny Zaklad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Powszechny Zaklad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 863.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.9 B |
Powszechny Zaklad Technical Analysis
Powszechny Zaklad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Powszechny Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen. In general, you should focus on analyzing Powszechny Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Powszechny Zaklad Predictive Forecast Models
Powszechny Zaklad's time-series forecasting models is one of many Powszechny Zaklad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Powszechny Zaklad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Powszechny Zaklad
Checking the ongoing alerts about Powszechny Zaklad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Powszechny Zaklad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Powszechny Stock Analysis
When running Powszechny Zaklad's price analysis, check to measure Powszechny Zaklad's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Powszechny Zaklad is operating at the current time. Most of Powszechny Zaklad's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Powszechny Zaklad's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Powszechny Zaklad's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Powszechny Zaklad to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.