Qualcomm Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.0
| QCOM Stock | 21.39 0.10 0.47% |
QUALCOMM |
QUALCOMM Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish below 23.0
The tendency of QUALCOMM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 23.00 after 90 days |
| 21.39 | 90 days | 23.00 | about 80.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QUALCOMM Incorporated to stay under 23.00 after 90 days from now is about 80.2 (This QUALCOMM Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of QUALCOMM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QUALCOMM Incorporated price to stay between its current price of 21.39 and 23.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon QUALCOMM Incorporated has a beta of 0.5 indicating as returns on the market go up, QUALCOMM Incorporated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QUALCOMM Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QUALCOMM Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. QUALCOMM Incorporated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for QUALCOMM Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QUALCOMM Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.QUALCOMM Incorporated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QUALCOMM Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QUALCOMM Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QUALCOMM Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QUALCOMM Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
QUALCOMM Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QUALCOMM Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QUALCOMM Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| QUALCOMM Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sanctuary Advisors LLC Buys 63,802 Shares of QUALCOMM Incorporated - MarketBeat |
QUALCOMM Incorporated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QUALCOMM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QUALCOMM Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QUALCOMM Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
QUALCOMM Incorporated Technical Analysis
QUALCOMM Incorporated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUALCOMM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QUALCOMM Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUALCOMM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
QUALCOMM Incorporated Predictive Forecast Models
QUALCOMM Incorporated's time-series forecasting models is one of many QUALCOMM Incorporated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QUALCOMM Incorporated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about QUALCOMM Incorporated
Checking the ongoing alerts about QUALCOMM Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QUALCOMM Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| QUALCOMM Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Sanctuary Advisors LLC Buys 63,802 Shares of QUALCOMM Incorporated - MarketBeat |
Check out QUALCOMM Incorporated Backtesting, QUALCOMM Incorporated Valuation, QUALCOMM Incorporated Correlation, QUALCOMM Incorporated Hype Analysis, QUALCOMM Incorporated Volatility, QUALCOMM Incorporated History as well as QUALCOMM Incorporated Performance. For information on how to trade QUALCOMM Stock refer to our How to Trade QUALCOMM Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.