Pear Tree Panagora Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.52

QEMAXDelisted Fund  USD 20.52  0.00  0.00%   
Pear Tree's future price is the expected price of Pear Tree instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pear Tree Panagora performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Pear Tree's target price for which you would like Pear Tree odds to be computed.

Pear Tree Target Price Odds to finish below 20.52

The tendency of Pear Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 20.52 90 days 20.52 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pear Tree to move below current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Pear Tree Panagora probability density function shows the probability of Pear Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pear Tree has a beta of 0.0975 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pear Tree average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pear Tree Panagora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pear Tree Panagora has an alpha of 0.0147, implying that it can generate a 0.0147 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pear Tree Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pear Tree

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pear Tree Panagora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5220.5220.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8718.8722.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0721.0721.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1220.4420.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pear Tree. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pear Tree's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pear Tree's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pear Tree Panagora.

Pear Tree Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pear Tree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pear Tree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pear Tree Panagora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pear Tree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Pear Tree Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pear Tree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pear Tree Panagora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pear Tree Panagora is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Pear Tree Panagora has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The fund generated three year return of -8.0%
Pear Tree Panagora maintains 95.99% of its assets in stocks

Pear Tree Technical Analysis

Pear Tree's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pear Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pear Tree Panagora. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pear Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pear Tree Predictive Forecast Models

Pear Tree's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pear Tree's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pear Tree's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pear Tree Panagora

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pear Tree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pear Tree Panagora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pear Tree Panagora is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Pear Tree Panagora has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The fund generated three year return of -8.0%
Pear Tree Panagora maintains 95.99% of its assets in stocks
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Pear Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Pear Tree Panagora check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pear Tree's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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