Aqr Equity Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.19

QMNNX Fund  USD 10.13  0.05  0.49%   
Aqr Equity's future price is the expected price of Aqr Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aqr Equity Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aqr Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aqr Equity Correlation, Aqr Equity Hype Analysis, Aqr Equity Volatility, Aqr Equity History as well as Aqr Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Aqr Equity's target price for which you would like Aqr Equity odds to be computed.

Aqr Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 10.19

The tendency of Aqr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.19  or more in 90 days
 10.13 90 days 10.19 
roughly 2.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aqr Equity to move over $ 10.19  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Aqr Equity Market probability density function shows the probability of Aqr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aqr Equity Market price to stay between its current price of $ 10.13  and $ 10.19  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aqr Equity Market has a beta of -0.0522 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aqr Equity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aqr Equity Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aqr Equity Market has an alpha of 0.0678, implying that it can generate a 0.0678 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aqr Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aqr Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aqr Equity Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7610.1310.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7110.0810.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6810.0510.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1110.1710.22
Details

Aqr Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aqr Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aqr Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aqr Equity Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aqr Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Aqr Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aqr Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aqr Equity Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 32.13% of its assets in cash

Aqr Equity Technical Analysis

Aqr Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aqr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aqr Equity Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aqr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aqr Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Aqr Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aqr Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aqr Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aqr Equity Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aqr Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aqr Equity Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 32.13% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Aqr Mutual Fund

Aqr Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqr with respect to the benefits of owning Aqr Equity security.
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