Middlefield Global Real Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 7.09

RA-UN Fund  CAD 7.71  0.04  0.52%   
Middlefield Global's future price is the expected price of Middlefield Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Middlefield Global Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Middlefield Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Middlefield Global Correlation, Middlefield Global Hype Analysis, Middlefield Global Volatility, Middlefield Global History as well as Middlefield Global Performance.
  
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Middlefield Global Target Price Odds to finish below 7.09

The tendency of Middlefield Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 7.09  or more in 90 days
 7.71 90 days 7.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Middlefield Global to drop to C$ 7.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Middlefield Global Real probability density function shows the probability of Middlefield Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Middlefield Global Real price to stay between C$ 7.09  and its current price of C$7.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Middlefield Global Real has a beta of -0.0585 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Middlefield Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Middlefield Global Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Middlefield Global Real has an alpha of 0.0314, implying that it can generate a 0.0314 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Middlefield Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Middlefield Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Middlefield Global Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.107.718.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.917.528.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.097.708.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.717.757.78
Details

Middlefield Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Middlefield Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Middlefield Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Middlefield Global Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Middlefield Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Middlefield Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Middlefield Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Middlefield Global Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Middlefield Global Technical Analysis

Middlefield Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Middlefield Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Middlefield Global Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Middlefield Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Middlefield Global Predictive Forecast Models

Middlefield Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Middlefield Global's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Middlefield Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Middlefield Global Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about Middlefield Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Middlefield Global Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Middlefield Fund

Middlefield Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Middlefield Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Middlefield with respect to the benefits of owning Middlefield Global security.
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