PT Sari (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.93
| RAFI Stock | 34.00 2.00 5.56% |
RAFI |
PT Sari Target Price Odds to finish below 22.93
The tendency of RAFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 22.93 or more in 90 days |
| 34.00 | 90 days | 22.93 | about 6.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Sari to drop to 22.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.12 (This PT Sari Kreasi probability density function shows the probability of RAFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Sari Kreasi price to stay between 22.93 and its current price of 34.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Sari has a beta of 0.92 indicating PT Sari Kreasi market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, PT Sari is expected to follow. Additionally PT Sari Kreasi has an alpha of 0.2829, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). PT Sari Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Sari
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Sari Kreasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Sari Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Sari is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Sari's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Sari Kreasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Sari within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
PT Sari Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Sari for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Sari Kreasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Sari Kreasi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PT Sari Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RAFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Sari's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Sari's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 660.7 M |
PT Sari Technical Analysis
PT Sari's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RAFI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Sari Kreasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing RAFI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Sari Predictive Forecast Models
PT Sari's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Sari's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Sari's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Sari Kreasi
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Sari for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Sari Kreasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Sari Kreasi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in RAFI Stock
PT Sari financial ratios help investors to determine whether RAFI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RAFI with respect to the benefits of owning PT Sari security.