Ramayana Lestari (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 372.4
| RALS Stock | IDR 380.00 2.00 0.52% |
Ramayana |
Ramayana Lestari Target Price Odds to finish over 372.4
The tendency of Ramayana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 372.40 in 90 days |
| 380.00 | 90 days | 372.40 | about 91.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ramayana Lestari to stay above 372.40 in 90 days from now is about 91.31 (This Ramayana Lestari Sentosa probability density function shows the probability of Ramayana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa price to stay between 372.40 and its current price of 380.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ramayana Lestari has a beta of 0.14 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ramayana Lestari average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ramayana Lestari Sentosa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ramayana Lestari Sentosa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ramayana Lestari Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ramayana Lestari
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramayana Lestari Sentosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ramayana Lestari Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ramayana Lestari is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ramayana Lestari's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ramayana Lestari Sentosa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ramayana Lestari within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Ramayana Lestari Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ramayana Lestari for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ramayana Lestari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Ramayana Lestari Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ramayana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ramayana Lestari's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ramayana Lestari's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 T |
Ramayana Lestari Technical Analysis
Ramayana Lestari's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ramayana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ramayana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ramayana Lestari Predictive Forecast Models
Ramayana Lestari's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ramayana Lestari's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ramayana Lestari's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ramayana Lestari Sentosa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ramayana Lestari for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ramayana Lestari Sentosa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ramayana Lestari generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ramayana Stock
Ramayana Lestari financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ramayana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ramayana with respect to the benefits of owning Ramayana Lestari security.