Ratch Group (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.75
| RATCH-R Stock | THB 30.25 0.44 1.48% |
Ratch |
Ratch Group Target Price Odds to finish below 42.75
The tendency of Ratch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 42.75 after 90 days |
| 30.25 | 90 days | 42.75 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ratch Group to stay under 42.75 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Ratch Group Public probability density function shows the probability of Ratch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ratch Group Public price to stay between its current price of 30.25 and 42.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ratch Group Public has a beta of -0.27 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ratch Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ratch Group Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ratch Group Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ratch Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ratch Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ratch Group Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ratch Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ratch Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ratch Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ratch Group Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ratch Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Ratch Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ratch Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ratch Group Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ratch Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ratch Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Ratch Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ratch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ratch Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ratch Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Ratch Group Technical Analysis
Ratch Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ratch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ratch Group Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ratch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ratch Group Predictive Forecast Models
Ratch Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ratch Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ratch Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ratch Group Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ratch Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ratch Group Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ratch Group Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ratch Group Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Ratch Stock Analysis
When running Ratch Group's price analysis, check to measure Ratch Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ratch Group is operating at the current time. Most of Ratch Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ratch Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ratch Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ratch Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.