Ratio Oil (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 284.47

RATI Stock   355.70  2.40  0.68%   
Ratio Oil's future price is the expected price of Ratio Oil instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ratio Oil Explorations performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ratio Oil Backtesting, Ratio Oil Valuation, Ratio Oil Correlation, Ratio Oil Hype Analysis, Ratio Oil Volatility, Ratio Oil History as well as Ratio Oil Performance.
  
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Ratio Oil Target Price Odds to finish below 284.47

The tendency of Ratio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  284.47  or more in 90 days
 355.70 90 days 284.47 
about 18.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ratio Oil to drop to  284.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.81 (This Ratio Oil Explorations probability density function shows the probability of Ratio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ratio Oil Explorations price to stay between  284.47  and its current price of 355.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ratio Oil has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ratio Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ratio Oil Explorations will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ratio Oil Explorations has an alpha of 0.3429, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ratio Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ratio Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ratio Oil Explorations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
354.07355.70357.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
320.13385.15386.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
353.48355.12356.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
349.03358.35367.67
Details

Ratio Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ratio Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ratio Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ratio Oil Explorations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ratio Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
30.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Ratio Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ratio Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ratio Oil Explorations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ratio Oil Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ratio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ratio Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ratio Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0001
Shares Float882.3 M

Ratio Oil Technical Analysis

Ratio Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ratio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ratio Oil Explorations. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ratio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ratio Oil Predictive Forecast Models

Ratio Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ratio Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ratio Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ratio Oil Explorations

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ratio Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ratio Oil Explorations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ratio Stock

Ratio Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ratio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ratio with respect to the benefits of owning Ratio Oil security.