Ristia Bintang (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.5
| RBMS Stock | IDR 29.00 2.00 6.45% |
Ristia |
Ristia Bintang Target Price Odds to finish over 27.5
The tendency of Ristia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 27.50 in 90 days |
| 29.00 | 90 days | 27.50 | about 92.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ristia Bintang to stay above 27.50 in 90 days from now is about 92.44 (This Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati probability density function shows the probability of Ristia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ristia Bintang Mahko price to stay between 27.50 and its current price of 29.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati has a beta of -0.43 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ristia Bintang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati has an alpha of 0.1262, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ristia Bintang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ristia Bintang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ristia Bintang Mahko. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ristia Bintang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ristia Bintang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ristia Bintang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ristia Bintang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0008 |
Ristia Bintang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ristia Bintang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ristia Bintang Mahko can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ristia Bintang Mahko generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ristia Bintang Mahko has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.55 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.44 B. | |
| About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Ristia Bintang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ristia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ristia Bintang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ristia Bintang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 50.5 B |
Ristia Bintang Technical Analysis
Ristia Bintang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ristia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ristia Bintang Mahkotasejati. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ristia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ristia Bintang Predictive Forecast Models
Ristia Bintang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ristia Bintang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ristia Bintang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ristia Bintang Mahko
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ristia Bintang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ristia Bintang Mahko help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ristia Bintang Mahko generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ristia Bintang Mahko has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.55 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.44 B. | |
| About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ristia Stock
Ristia Bintang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ristia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ristia with respect to the benefits of owning Ristia Bintang security.