Small Cap Premium Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.77
| RCC Stock | USD 24.56 0.07 0.29% |
Small |
Small Cap Target Price Odds to finish over 25.77
The tendency of Small Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.77 or more in 90 days |
| 24.56 | 90 days | 25.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Small Cap to move over $ 25.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Small Cap Premium probability density function shows the probability of Small Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Small Cap Premium price to stay between its current price of $ 24.56 and $ 25.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.45 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Small Cap has a beta of 0.0257 indicating as returns on the market go up, Small Cap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Small Cap Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Small Cap Premium has an alpha of 0.017, implying that it can generate a 0.017 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Small Cap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Small Cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Small Cap Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Small Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Small Cap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Small Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Small Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Small Cap Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Small Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Small Cap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Small Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Small Cap Premium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 30th of October 2024 Small Cap paid $ 0.3594 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Weekly top mid- and small-cap picks These stocks scored 10 on 10 on Stock Reports Plus - The Economic Times |
Small Cap Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Small Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Small Cap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Small Cap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 215.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 138.5 M |
Small Cap Technical Analysis
Small Cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Small Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Small Cap Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Small Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Small Cap Predictive Forecast Models
Small Cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Small Cap's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Small Cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Small Cap Premium
Checking the ongoing alerts about Small Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Small Cap Premium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 30th of October 2024 Small Cap paid $ 0.3594 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Weekly top mid- and small-cap picks These stocks scored 10 on 10 on Stock Reports Plus - The Economic Times |
Check out Small Cap Backtesting, Small Cap Valuation, Small Cap Correlation, Small Cap Hype Analysis, Small Cap Volatility, Small Cap History as well as Small Cap Performance. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Small Cap. If investors know Small will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Small Cap listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 0.1426 |
The market value of Small Cap Premium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Small that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Small Cap's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Small Cap's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Small Cap's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Small Cap's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Small Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Small Cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Small Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.