RELX PLC (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.78
| RDEB Stock | EUR 43.46 0.68 1.54% |
RELX |
RELX PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 46.78
The tendency of RELX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 46.78 or more in 90 days |
| 43.46 | 90 days | 46.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RELX PLC to move over € 46.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This RELX PLC probability density function shows the probability of RELX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RELX PLC price to stay between its current price of € 43.46 and € 46.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RELX PLC has a beta of -0.0274 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RELX PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RELX PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RELX PLC has an alpha of 0.0201, implying that it can generate a 0.0201 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RELX PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RELX PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RELX PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RELX PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RELX PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RELX PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RELX PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RELX PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0019 |
RELX PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RELX PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RELX PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RELX PLC has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| RELX PLC has accumulated 5.75 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 308.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. RELX PLC has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RELX PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RELX PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RELX PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RELX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RELX PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of RELX PLC shares are owned by institutional investors |
RELX PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RELX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RELX PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RELX PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
RELX PLC Technical Analysis
RELX PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RELX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RELX PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing RELX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RELX PLC Predictive Forecast Models
RELX PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many RELX PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RELX PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RELX PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about RELX PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RELX PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RELX PLC has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| RELX PLC has accumulated 5.75 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 308.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. RELX PLC has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RELX PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RELX PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RELX PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RELX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RELX PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of RELX PLC shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in RELX Stock
RELX PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether RELX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RELX with respect to the benefits of owning RELX PLC security.